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Red129
398596.8
654195.7
4952137.2
Blue482
6872108.7
5528166.5
3379133.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522860100200400500129482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4952
#28
137.26.4
115.2121.6
Auto17.2
Teleop99.7
End23.0
blue by 29.2
166.57.9
117.8125.8
Auto23.0
Teleop117.3
End25.1
Second
3985
#54
96.83.6
98.7102.4
Auto12.7
Teleop73.2
End15.9
blue by 36.5
3379
#10
133.35.0
98.6103.6
Auto16.6
Teleop95.6
End24.7
Third
6541
#55
95.73.1
88.992.0
Auto11.7
Teleop75.6
End9.1
blue by 13.0
6872
#24
108.72.4
94.096.3
Auto16.4
Teleop80.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed