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Red321
3117112.8
6953117.5
7116130.3
Blue117
353298.7
11130.4
3988104.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2212840100400500600321117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7116
#27
130.34.5
97.8102.3
Auto13.4
Teleop97.4
End19.2
blue by 0.1
11
#34
130.46.2
127.7133.9
Auto15.1
Teleop99.9
End14.8
Second
6953
#12
117.53.4
103.4106.9
Auto15.2
Teleop84.7
End20.1
red by 12.9
3988
#51
104.73.7
103.8107.5
Auto13.6
Teleop80.4
End9.9
Third
3117
#47
112.81.4
115.0113.5
Auto17.1
Teleop84.1
End13.8
red by 14.2
3532
#52
98.72.1
94.196.2
Auto12.3
Teleop74.0
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed