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Red215
3544115.3
6622122.5
4947135.9
Blue102
3996127.3
6847112.6
5440114.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2952400200400600800215102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.98.4
110.8119.2
Auto19.5
Teleop98.4
End21.1
red by 8.6
3996
#22
127.30.1
115.3115.4
Auto14.2
Teleop96.3
End22.0
Second
6622
#39
122.55.8
106.6112.5
Auto14.5
Teleop90.4
End17.9
red by 7.6
5440
#25
114.95.8
98.7104.5
Auto16.4
Teleop89.1
End16.8
Third
3544
#43
115.32.4
104.3106.6
Auto12.6
Teleop88.7
End16.4
red by 2.7
6847
#37
112.64.5
94.899.3
Auto16.6
Teleop89.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed