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Red239
3550129.2
6823144.4
5439147.8
Blue256
5095105.3
296122.9
5179127.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3382240100300400500600239256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5439
#16
147.86.9
109.6116.5
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End25.0
red by 20.2
5179
#20
127.63.6
104.9108.5
Auto13.2
Teleop94.4
End22.8
Second
6823
#18
144.411.1
102.3113.4
Auto16.1
Teleop112.5
End14.9
red by 21.5
296
#31
122.93.4
106.6109.9
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End17.7
Third
3550
#41
129.22.1
116.4118.4
Auto14.7
Teleop100.1
End15.0
red by 23.9
5095
#42
105.33.8
94.598.3
Auto13.6
Teleop83.4
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed