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Red232
654195.7
6851125.3
5440114.9
Blue398
6953117.5
3990186.3
6929115.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1923550100300400500600232398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6851
#14
125.35.3
105.3110.6
Auto16.9
Teleop93.5
End18.8
blue by 61.0
186.38.1
145.4153.5
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
Second
5440
#25
114.92.1
104.5106.6
Auto16.4
Teleop89.1
End16.8
blue by 2.6
6953
#12
117.55.5
106.9112.4
Auto15.2
Teleop84.7
End20.1
Third
6541
#55
95.70.8
92.092.8
Auto11.7
Teleop75.6
End9.1
blue by 19.7
115.41.2
96.998.0
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed