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Red223
3988104.7
5570102.7
3533113.1
Blue429
3986130.2
5439147.8
6622122.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253210100400500600223429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3533
#33
113.12.8
108.7111.5
Auto14.4
Teleop89.4
End9.8
blue by 34.7
5439
#16
147.84.2
116.5120.7
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End25.0
Second
3988
#51
104.70.5
107.5108.0
Auto13.6
Teleop80.4
End9.9
blue by 25.6
3986
#32
130.23.8
115.5119.3
Auto16.5
Teleop100.2
End11.2
Third
5570
#50
102.73.9
100.7104.6
Auto11.4
Teleop79.2
End11.6
blue by 19.8
6622
#39
122.53.7
112.5116.1
Auto14.5
Teleop90.4
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed