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Red279
5179127.6
3986130.2
353298.7
Blue249
4947135.9
6540106.5
3975118.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2442800100200400500600279249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#32
130.21.0
124.7125.7
Auto16.5
Teleop100.2
End11.2
blue by 5.6
135.91.6
128.0129.6
Auto19.5
Teleop98.4
End21.1
Second
5179
#20
127.64.6
111.1115.7
Auto13.2
Teleop94.4
End22.8
red by 9.2
3975
#36
118.40.0
118.2118.3
Auto15.8
Teleop94.3
End8.7
Third
3532
#52
98.70.1
97.097.2
Auto12.3
Teleop74.0
End14.2
blue by 7.8
6540
#45
106.51.4
108.9107.5
Auto13.2
Teleop82.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed