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Red290
5440114.9
6869146.2
4594112.7
Blue293
5528166.5
5618143.4
3117112.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323630100200300400500600290293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6869
#13
146.25.7
127.3133.0
Auto16.5
Teleop112.4
End14.3
blue by 20.3
166.58.3
144.2152.5
Auto23.0
Teleop117.3
End25.1
Second
5440
#25
114.91.5
109.1110.6
Auto16.4
Teleop89.1
End16.8
blue by 28.5
143.43.8
136.0139.9
Auto16.5
Teleop113.8
End14.5
Third
4594
#23
112.73.9
99.7103.6
Auto14.3
Teleop84.3
End18.3
blue by 0.1
3117
#47
112.82.1
116.2114.1
Auto17.1
Teleop84.1
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed