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Red349
5553134.7
3550129.2
3533113.1
Blue243
5910148.8
4950133.7
398596.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893060100200400500600349243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5553
#44
134.74.7
123.4128.0
Auto15.6
Teleop103.5
End15.2
blue by 14.1
5910
#11
148.84.1
138.9143.0
Auto20.0
Teleop108.2
End21.1
Second
3550
#41
129.23.5
119.4122.9
Auto14.7
Teleop100.1
End15.0
blue by 4.5
4950
#38
133.71.7
128.9130.6
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End25.8
Third
3533
#33
113.11.0
111.7110.8
Auto14.4
Teleop89.4
End9.8
red by 16.3
3985
#54
96.82.7
102.099.3
Auto12.7
Teleop73.2
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed