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Red271
5443109.5
4957109.9
6847112.6
Blue190
654195.7
6872108.7
296122.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832500100200400500271190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6847
#37
112.63.6
104.8108.3
Auto16.6
Teleop89.4
End4.6
blue by 10.4
296
#31
122.93.4
114.9118.2
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End17.7
Second
4957
#40
109.90.1
107.0107.1
Auto13.0
Teleop81.6
End17.9
red by 1.2
6872
#24
108.70.4
108.0108.4
Auto16.4
Teleop80.0
End17.4
Third
5443
#49
109.51.4
103.5104.9
Auto14.5
Teleop74.6
End21.2
red by 13.8
6541
#55
95.70.5
94.695.1
Auto11.7
Teleop75.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed