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Red437
4942132.0
2626115.4
359181.1
Blue261
7116130.3
5865131.8
6622122.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330284100200400500437261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
181.14.3
156.7161.0
Auto24.2
Teleop127.7
End26.9
red by 49.3
5865
#29
131.80.9
127.2128.2
Auto18.8
Teleop95.9
End23.1
Second
4942
#21
132.07.4
109.9117.3
Auto13.5
Teleop98.3
End21.8
red by 1.6
7116
#27
130.36.0
114.8120.8
Auto13.4
Teleop97.4
End19.2
Third
2626
#26
115.43.0
115.7112.7
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End9.8
blue by 7.1
6622
#39
122.50.8
121.4120.5
Auto14.5
Teleop90.4
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed