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Red265
3360156.4
6872108.7
5440114.9
Blue260
3986130.2
1772165.2
6540106.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277280100150200250300350400450265260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.413.0
102.2115.2
Auto20.7
Teleop113.3
End23.5
blue by 8.8
165.214.8
85.4100.2
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
Second
5440
#25
114.917.1
64.781.8
Auto16.4
Teleop89.1
End16.8
blue by 15.3
3986
#32
130.216.3
71.788.0
Auto16.5
Teleop100.2
End11.2
Third
6872
#24
108.730.9
108.777.7
Auto16.4
Teleop80.0
End17.4
red by 2.2
6540
#45
106.517.5
60.978.4
Auto13.2
Teleop82.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed