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Red203
6622122.5
3379133.3
296122.9
Blue238
7162140.2
5618143.4
3975118.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264281100150200300350400450203238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3379
#10
133.317.6
60.878.3
Auto16.6
Teleop95.6
End24.7
blue by 10.1
143.414.3
90.4104.6
Auto16.5
Teleop113.8
End14.5
Second
296
#31
122.916.3
71.888.1
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End17.7
blue by 17.2
140.262.4
140.277.7
Auto19.4
Teleop100.7
End25.2
Third
6622
#39
122.516.1
73.889.9
Auto14.5
Teleop90.4
End17.9
red by 4.0
3975
#36
118.417.1
65.182.1
Auto15.8
Teleop94.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed