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Red434
3386136.4
3990186.3
6869146.2
Blue175
5994111.0
5439147.8
398596.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30325902004006008001,000434175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.313.0
102.0115.0
Auto28.8
Teleop131.0
End23.8
red by 38.5
5439
#16
147.815.9
75.791.5
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End25.0
Second
6869
#13
146.270.4
148.277.7
Auto16.5
Teleop112.4
End14.3
red by 35.2
5994
#35
111.016.7
68.685.2
Auto15.0
Teleop84.2
End15.7
Third
3386
#19
136.415.1
82.497.6
Auto19.2
Teleop102.6
End16.7
red by 39.6
3985
#54
96.816.8
67.384.1
Auto12.7
Teleop73.2
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed