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Red422
7053104.0
3117112.8
4952137.2
Blue174
6622122.5
6902125.0
3550129.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269321100200300400500422174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4952
#28
137.20.6
134.8135.4
Auto17.2
Teleop99.7
End23.0
red by 8.1
3550
#41
129.23.0
126.1129.1
Auto14.7
Teleop100.1
End15.0
Second
3117
#47
112.81.4
112.4111.0
Auto17.1
Teleop84.1
End13.8
blue by 12.1
6902
#17
125.01.9
123.0125.0
Auto15.6
Teleop89.4
End17.7
Third
7053
#15
104.02.1
101.9104.0
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End9.4
blue by 18.5
6622
#39
122.51.9
120.6122.5
Auto14.5
Teleop90.4
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed