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Red381
5439147.8
3975118.4
3360156.4
Blue241
4957109.9
4950133.7
7116130.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369282100200400500600381241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.40.8
153.0153.8
Auto20.7
Teleop113.3
End23.5
red by 22.7
4950
#38
133.71.7
132.0133.7
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End25.8
Second
5439
#16
147.85.0
138.7143.7
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End25.0
red by 17.5
7116
#27
130.33.4
125.2128.6
Auto13.4
Teleop97.4
End19.2
Third
3975
#36
118.40.5
118.9118.4
Auto15.8
Teleop94.3
End8.7
red by 8.6
4957
#40
109.91.6
108.3109.9
Auto13.0
Teleop81.6
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed