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Red71
3387113.8
398198.0
6847112.6
Blue308
6953117.5
2626115.4
5179127.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226303010040050060071308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3387
#46
113.81.1
112.7113.8
Auto12.1
Teleop89.6
End11.7
blue by 13.9
5179
#20
127.64.1
120.1124.2
Auto13.2
Teleop94.4
End22.8
Second
6847
#37
112.60.8
111.8112.6
Auto16.6
Teleop89.4
End4.6
blue by 5.0
6953
#12
117.50.8
118.3117.5
Auto15.2
Teleop84.7
End20.1
Third
3981
#48
98.02.2
95.898.0
Auto15.7
Teleop79.7
End4.2
blue by 17.3
2626
#26
115.40.8
114.5115.4
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed