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Red253
5528166.5
5443109.5
7162140.2
Blue289
3544115.3
3550129.2
3360156.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350301100200400500600253289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.54.5
157.4161.8
Auto23.0
Teleop117.3
End25.1
red by 10.1
156.41.5
153.8155.3
Auto20.7
Teleop113.3
End23.5
Second
140.23.3
133.9137.2
Auto19.4
Teleop100.7
End25.2
red by 11.0
3550
#41
129.20.1
129.1129.2
Auto14.7
Teleop100.1
End15.0
Third
5443
#49
109.51.3
107.0108.4
Auto14.5
Teleop74.6
End21.2
blue by 5.8
3544
#43
115.31.2
114.1115.3
Auto12.6
Teleop88.7
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed