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Red297
2168185.2
6328152.9
4176127.4
Blue198
121151.1
4908154.2
157139.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380290200500600700297198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.20.4
183.4183.8
Auto23.4
Teleop145.2
End18.9
red by 31.1
4908
#13
154.20.5
153.4153.8
Auto15.8
Teleop115.9
End21.8
Second
152.90.8
148.7149.5
Auto18.2
Teleop116.7
End21.5
red by 1.7
121
#22
151.10.1
151.1151.2
Auto23.0
Teleop111.2
End16.8
Third
4176
#15
127.40.6
124.2124.8
Auto18.8
Teleop97.5
End13.6
blue by 11.9
157
#23
139.30.3
138.8139.1
Auto18.3
Teleop107.0
End13.2