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Red346
2168185.2
6328152.9
4176127.4
Blue179
3461176.6
1729144.0
1153143.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368313200400500600346179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.20.4
184.1184.5
Auto23.4
Teleop145.2
End18.9
red by 8.6
3461
#11
176.60.1
176.5176.6
Auto23.5
Teleop128.9
End26.0
Second
152.90.7
150.2150.9
Auto18.2
Teleop116.7
End21.5
red by 8.9
144.00.8
142.0142.8
Auto18.2
Teleop113.2
End16.1
Third
4176
#15
127.40.5
125.4125.9
Auto18.8
Teleop97.5
End13.6
blue by 16.5
1153
#14
143.80.3
143.1143.4
Auto22.2
Teleop101.0
End20.8