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Red267
6328152.9
6620120.6
78184.2
Blue252
1517121.7
5112147.9
4176127.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642570100200300400500600267252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
184.20.8
184.6183.8
Auto23.5
Teleop131.8
End28.2
red by 36.2
5112
#18
147.91.5
139.0140.5
Auto16.8
Teleop115.6
End12.1
Second
152.91.3
137.7136.5
Auto18.2
Teleop116.7
End21.5
red by 25.5
4176
#15
127.40.1
110.6110.6
Auto18.8
Teleop97.5
End13.6
Third
6620
#38
120.60.9
132.0131.0
Auto15.2
Teleop94.0
End8.0
blue by 1.2
1517
#31
121.71.1
121.4120.3
Auto14.7
Teleop90.4
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed