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Red392
3623149.7
121151.1
175160.6
Blue319
3719122.0
4908154.2
1350114.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328275100200400500600700392319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#10
160.67.8
116.3124.0
Auto20.5
Teleop119.4
End21.8
red by 6.4
4908
#13
154.22.0
140.7142.7
Auto15.8
Teleop115.9
End21.8
Second
121
#22
151.10.5
145.0145.5
Auto23.0
Teleop111.2
End16.8
red by 29.2
3719
#26
122.01.0
113.9114.9
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4
Third
3623
#17
149.70.2
135.0134.8
Auto16.8
Teleop112.6
End22.5
red by 35.1
1350
#40
114.62.5
125.8123.3
Auto16.0
Teleop83.1
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed