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Red206
157139.3
3461176.6
1757115.5
Blue418
2262117.4
61176.2
126139.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325323250300350400450206418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#11
176.61.7
168.7170.4
Auto23.5
Teleop128.9
End26.0
red by 0.4
61
#8
176.21.2
165.6166.8
Auto24.2
Teleop125.9
End26.8
Second
157
#23
139.30.3
135.4135.7
Auto18.3
Teleop107.0
End13.2
red by 0.2
126
#12
139.11.5
125.2126.7
Auto19.4
Teleop100.1
End20.9
Third
1757
#34
115.52.8
122.8120.0
Auto18.3
Teleop87.6
End10.2
blue by 1.9
2262
#36
117.40.5
118.3117.8
Auto17.3
Teleop89.9
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed