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Red162
6333121.2
1277109.7
157139.3
Blue303
175160.6
1153143.8
5112147.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2293960100300500600162303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#23
139.30.1
135.3135.2
Auto18.3
Teleop107.0
End13.2
blue by 21.3
175
#10
160.65.7
130.0135.7
Auto20.5
Teleop119.4
End21.8
Second
6333
#20
121.26.2
101.6107.8
Auto20.0
Teleop91.6
End10.2
blue by 26.7
5112
#18
147.91.9
141.8143.7
Auto16.8
Teleop115.6
End12.1
Third
1277
#33
109.71.1
103.4104.5
Auto14.2
Teleop82.7
End14.9
blue by 34.2
1153
#14
143.81.3
140.6141.8
Auto22.2
Teleop101.0
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed