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Red416
5000164.7
190124.1
3461176.6
Blue115
1517121.7
4151100.0
6620120.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141900100300500600700800416115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#11
176.61.7
172.3174.0
Auto23.5
Teleop128.9
End26.0
red by 54.9
1517
#31
121.70.9
119.6118.6
Auto14.7
Teleop90.4
End18.1
Second
164.71.9
151.7153.5
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End27.4
red by 44.2
6620
#38
120.61.9
129.7127.9
Auto15.2
Teleop94.0
End8.0
Third
190
#24
124.10.1
121.1121.2
Auto17.8
Teleop92.5
End13.4
red by 24.1
4151
#28
100.00.9
97.698.5
Auto12.7
Teleop78.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed