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Red387
4176127.4
1729144.0
1350114.6
Blue310
4796123.9
1153143.8
1757115.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783040100200400500600700387310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.00.6
126.4127.0
Auto18.2
Teleop113.2
End16.1
red by 0.2
1153
#14
143.80.9
141.8142.7
Auto22.2
Teleop101.0
End20.8
Second
4176
#15
127.41.4
110.9112.3
Auto18.8
Teleop97.5
End13.6
red by 3.5
4796
#30
123.91.6
120.0121.6
Auto16.7
Teleop96.4
End9.8
Third
1350
#40
114.61.1
120.1119.0
Auto16.0
Teleop83.1
End13.2
blue by 0.9
1757
#34
115.51.3
115.2114.0
Auto18.3
Teleop87.6
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed