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Red488
3236156.8
2168185.2
1517121.7
Blue266
2079130.8
3623149.7
197392.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3702300100200300400500600488266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.21.2
179.8178.7
Auto23.4
Teleop145.2
End18.9
red by 35.6
3623
#17
149.71.0
135.4136.4
Auto16.8
Teleop112.6
End22.5
Second
156.81.4
144.3145.7
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End30.8
red by 26.0
2079
#27
130.80.9
120.7121.6
Auto17.9
Teleop88.6
End25.5
Third
1517
#31
121.71.1
118.6117.6
Auto14.7
Teleop90.4
End18.1
red by 29.0
1973
#41
92.72.8
95.298.0
Auto15.6
Teleop70.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed