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Red383
78184.2
5000164.7
3236156.8
Blue261
197392.7
6328152.9
1153143.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4372450100200300400500600383261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
184.20.1
182.4182.3
Auto23.5
Teleop131.8
End28.2
red by 31.3
152.91.4
135.6137.1
Auto18.2
Teleop116.7
End21.5
Second
164.72.3
155.4157.7
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End27.4
red by 20.9
1153
#14
143.80.8
142.7143.5
Auto22.2
Teleop101.0
End20.8
Third
156.81.9
145.7147.7
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End30.8
red by 64.1
1973
#41
92.73.4
98.0101.4
Auto15.6
Teleop70.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed