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Red424
4908154.2
1517121.7
190124.1
Blue298
3466125.9
126139.1
1922121.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31527902004006008001,0001,2001,400424298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#13
154.20.7
146.2146.8
Auto15.8
Teleop115.9
End21.8
red by 15.1
126
#12
139.10.7
132.2132.9
Auto19.4
Teleop100.1
End20.9
Second
190
#24
124.10.4
121.2121.7
Auto17.8
Teleop92.5
End13.4
blue by 1.8
3466
#25
125.90.8
120.1120.9
Auto17.9
Teleop97.7
End10.6
Third
1517
#31
121.70.1
117.6117.5
Auto14.7
Teleop90.4
End18.1
red by 0.2
1922
#37
121.61.1
123.7124.8
Auto16.5
Teleop90.7
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed