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Red306
173125.9
5846143.3
1757115.5
Blue381
175160.6
4176127.4
2079130.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933290100200400500600306381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.30.7
135.8136.5
Auto20.1
Teleop107.6
End17.7
blue by 17.3
175
#10
160.64.4
139.1143.5
Auto20.5
Teleop119.4
End21.8
Second
173
#29
125.90.6
133.7133.1
Auto17.2
Teleop92.4
End16.7
blue by 4.9
2079
#27
130.81.3
121.6122.9
Auto17.9
Teleop88.6
End25.5
Third
1757
#34
115.50.8
114.0113.2
Auto18.3
Teleop87.6
End10.2
blue by 11.9
4176
#15
127.41.7
112.3114.0
Auto18.8
Teleop97.5
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed