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Red384
61176.2
175160.6
3146147.1
Blue284
1740122.3
1517121.7
1729144.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4002510100200300500600700384284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#8
176.20.9
171.4172.3
Auto24.2
Teleop125.9
End26.8
red by 32.2
144.02.1
129.8132.0
Auto18.2
Teleop113.2
End16.1
Second
175
#10
160.63.6
147.6151.3
Auto20.5
Teleop119.4
End21.8
red by 38.2
1740
#39
122.32.7
119.0121.7
Auto16.3
Teleop84.1
End17.9
Third
3146
#21
147.11.7
137.9139.6
Auto17.2
Teleop109.5
End22.0
red by 25.4
1517
#31
121.70.9
117.9118.8
Auto14.7
Teleop90.4
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed