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Red410
126139.1
5846143.3
4176127.4
Blue136
197392.7
1100153.0
4097117.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320299150200250350400450410136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.30.9
137.3138.2
Auto20.1
Teleop107.6
End17.7
blue by 9.7
1100
#16DQ
153.02.3
147.4149.7
Auto20.9
Teleop116.9
End16.2
Second
126
#12
139.10.6
133.7134.3
Auto19.4
Teleop100.1
End20.9
red by 21.2
4097
#32
117.90.2
118.3118.5
Auto13.0
Teleop89.9
End17.6
Third
4176
#15
127.41.6
116.7118.3
Auto18.8
Teleop97.5
End13.6
red by 34.7
1973
#41
92.72.1
103.7101.6
Auto15.6
Teleop70.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed