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Red244
157139.3
1922121.6
190124.1
Blue346
3236156.8
1757115.5
121151.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296342100200400500244346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#23
139.31.5
135.5137.0
Auto18.3
Teleop107.0
End13.2
blue by 17.5
156.80.8
150.6151.4
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End30.8
Second
190
#24
124.10.0
123.5123.4
Auto17.8
Teleop92.5
End13.4
blue by 27.0
121
#22
151.10.3
151.0150.6
Auto23.0
Teleop111.2
End16.8
Third
1922
#37
121.61.6
124.8123.2
Auto16.5
Teleop90.7
End17.5
red by 6.1
1757
#34
115.50.3
112.8113.1
Auto18.3
Teleop87.6
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed