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Red280
197392.7
3146147.1
4908154.2
Blue312
1517121.7
4796123.9
157139.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309312200250350400450280312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#13
154.20.9
150.3151.2
Auto15.8
Teleop115.9
End21.8
red by 14.9
157
#23
139.31.1
137.0138.1
Auto18.3
Teleop107.0
End13.2
Second
3146
#21
147.12.6
141.2143.8
Auto17.2
Teleop109.5
End22.0
red by 23.2
4796
#30
123.90.7
124.3125.1
Auto16.7
Teleop96.4
End9.8
Third
1973
#41
92.72.1
98.596.4
Auto15.6
Teleop70.1
End8.4
blue by 29.0
1517
#31
121.70.9
119.9120.7
Auto14.7
Teleop90.4
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed