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Red412
61176.2
4151100.0
5000164.7
Blue193
1100153.0
6333121.2
1350114.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832600100200300500600412193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#8
176.20.5
173.3173.8
Auto24.2
Teleop125.9
End26.8
red by 23.2
1100
#16
153.00.6
150.6151.2
Auto20.9
Teleop116.9
End16.2
Second
164.70.9
163.3164.2
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End27.4
red by 43.5
6333
#20
121.20.8
120.4121.2
Auto20.0
Teleop91.6
End10.2
Third
4151
#28
100.00.3
98.198.3
Auto12.7
Teleop78.5
End12.3
blue by 14.6
1350
#40
114.60.6
117.1116.5
Auto16.0
Teleop83.1
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed