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Red254
3390112.8
3239152.2
2383161.0
Blue378
1515130.4
5472192.4
2576111.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323318250300350400450254378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#37
161.00.1
166.6166.5
Auto19.9
Teleop132.6
End10.2
blue by 31.4
5472
#59
192.40.2
190.7190.9
Auto20.6
Teleop153.6
End15.8
Second
3239
#51
152.20.3
154.9155.2
Auto19.9
Teleop109.6
End22.6
red by 21.8
1515
#52
130.41.5
137.2138.7
Auto17.6
Teleop97.4
End10.9
Third
3390
#66
112.80.9
114.1113.2
Auto16.1
Teleop85.7
End11.4
red by 1.2
2576
#36
111.60.9
108.2109.1
Auto18.9
Teleop86.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed