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Red385
6348116.8
1710158.7
2521159.8
Blue218
3316182.6
7327119.3
5212129.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316318200250300350400385218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.81.8
138.9140.7
Auto18.1
Teleop120.0
End23.1
blue by 22.8
3316
#19
182.60.4
182.6183.1
Auto24.1
Teleop132.8
End28.6
Second
1710
#26
158.70.4
159.9159.4
Auto21.3
Teleop121.5
End16.8
red by 29.7
5212
#32
129.00.4
126.1126.6
Auto17.0
Teleop92.5
End21.5
Third
6348
#40
116.81.0
113.4114.4
Auto15.9
Teleop89.5
End12.1
blue by 2.5
7327
#63
119.30.2
124.8124.9
Auto15.5
Teleop90.0
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed