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Red312
4401135.9
4522188.0
7102109.7
Blue297
3880140.5
1983170.9
6106133.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30734102004006008001,000312297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.00.0
184.7184.6
Auto24.0
Teleop129.4
End36.9
red by 17.1
1983
#25
170.91.2
168.7169.9
Auto20.3
Teleop133.5
End19.0
Second
4401
#44
135.91.9
131.1132.9
Auto16.4
Teleop102.4
End18.9
blue by 4.6
3880
#47
140.50.0
139.2139.3
Auto15.4
Teleop107.2
End16.5
Third
7102
#53
109.70.7
109.4108.7
Auto13.8
Teleop79.5
End16.0
blue by 23.4
6106
#48
133.10.4
139.0138.6
Auto16.0
Teleop101.6
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed