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Red259
7018128.2
6024147.0
179207.5
Blue403
5429150.9
1002150.2
6072147.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389281100200500600700800259403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#3
207.50.4
202.8202.4
Auto21.3
Teleop144.3
End40.3
red by 56.6
5429
#24
150.90.6
142.5143.1
Auto17.3
Teleop112.8
End20.4
Second
6024
#18
147.00.1
147.7147.6
Auto20.9
Teleop107.6
End18.3
blue by 3.2
1002
#20
150.20.7
139.6140.3
Auto20.5
Teleop115.3
End12.6
Third
7018
#61
128.22.0
126.4128.4
Auto15.9
Teleop106.1
End6.5
blue by 19.0
6072
#12
147.21.4
140.7142.1
Auto18.9
Teleop115.8
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed