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Red511
6887110.5
3882158.7
6024147.0
Blue295
488172.8
7193115.3
3390112.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3063350100200400500600700511295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#22
158.70.6
157.8158.4
Auto21.8
Teleop121.1
End13.6
blue by 14.1
488
#16
172.81.5
169.7171.2
Auto21.6
Teleop139.6
End11.8
Second
6024
#18
147.00.5
146.5147.0
Auto20.9
Teleop107.6
End18.3
red by 31.7
7193
#60
115.30.3
115.7115.3
Auto17.0
Teleop83.0
End12.4
Third
6887
#41
110.50.0
110.6110.6
Auto17.0
Teleop84.9
End9.8
blue by 2.3
3390
#66
112.80.7
112.0112.8
Auto16.1
Teleop85.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed