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Red585
1778148.3
3959172.6
3316182.6
Blue262
4191136.8
3250196.2
5429150.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38332105001,0001,5002,000585262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#19
182.60.2
181.5181.7
Auto24.1
Teleop132.8
End28.6
blue by 13.6
196.21.0
195.1196.1
Auto28.1
Teleop138.3
End29.0
Second
3959
#13
172.60.2
172.0172.3
Auto21.3
Teleop142.4
End9.2
red by 21.7
5429
#24
150.91.0
149.9150.9
Auto17.3
Teleop112.8
End20.4
Third
1778
#42
148.30.4
148.5148.1
Auto18.1
Teleop119.2
End9.9
red by 11.5
136.82.5
134.3136.8
Auto15.5
Teleop103.8
End22.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed