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Red302
488172.8
1178163.3
3288114.4
Blue520
2383161.0
1323230.1
2073140.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2654050100200300500600302520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#16
172.81.0
171.2172.2
Auto21.6
Teleop139.6
End11.8
blue by 57.3
230.10.8
228.1228.9
Auto27.5
Teleop164.0
End36.7
Second
1178
#33
163.30.3
162.9163.3
Auto21.6
Teleop116.3
End23.4
red by 2.3
2383
#37
161.00.8
162.1161.2
Auto19.9
Teleop132.6
End10.2
Third
3288
#56
114.41.0
113.4114.4
Auto16.3
Teleop80.4
End18.2
blue by 25.6
2073
#14
140.01.6
138.4140.0
Auto19.9
Teleop111.5
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsEarned