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Red263
665294.6
1072150.7
7081122.4
Blue427
1763146.7
2584139.1
7018128.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259343100200300400500600263427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#54
150.70.6
152.2151.5
Auto20.9
Teleop117.8
End10.4
red by 4.1
1763
#65
146.70.0
146.6146.7
Auto18.6
Teleop111.0
End18.5
Second
7081
#57
122.40.5
121.9122.4
Auto15.8
Teleop89.7
End17.6
blue by 16.7
2584
#35
139.10.8
137.6138.4
Auto17.5
Teleop114.7
End8.2
Third
6652
#62
94.61.5
93.194.6
Auto15.9
Teleop67.7
End16.5
blue by 33.6
7018
#61
128.21.0
129.2128.2
Auto15.9
Teleop106.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed