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Red118
7193115.3
6390162.2
3239152.2
Blue365
5678110.3
6996124.1
4159148.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3882210100300500600700800118365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#46
162.21.8
163.2165.0
Auto18.1
Teleop119.9
End23.4
red by 13.8
4159
#21
148.41.3
137.7139.0
Auto18.4
Teleop115.7
End15.8
Second
3239
#51
152.20.0
155.2155.2
Auto19.9
Teleop109.6
End22.6
red by 28.1
6996
#30
124.10.8
108.6109.4
Auto17.4
Teleop99.9
End8.8
Third
7193
#60
115.30.1
123.6123.7
Auto17.0
Teleop83.0
End12.4
red by 5.0
5678
#28
110.30.1
98.698.6
Auto16.7
Teleop81.8
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed