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Red260
4188178.3
3390112.8
3288114.4
Blue384
7312104.7
4980170.6
3476206.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204000100300500600700800260384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#15
178.30.6
172.5173.0
Auto23.7
Teleop133.4
End22.1
blue by 27.9
206.20.4
196.9197.3
Auto24.8
Teleop143.3
End37.2
Second
3288
#56
114.41.5
110.8109.3
Auto16.3
Teleop80.4
End18.2
blue by 56.2
170.60.3
167.5167.8
Auto24.1
Teleop127.6
End18.0
Third
3390
#66
112.81.0
113.2112.2
Auto16.1
Teleop85.7
End11.4
red by 8.1
7312
#58
104.70.2
109.7109.9
Auto14.7
Teleop82.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed