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Qual 282018 Roebling Division
Red337
3880140.5
5437152.1
488172.8
Blue264
7081122.4
3959172.6
1002150.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32431002006008001,0001,2001,4001,600337264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#16
172.80.4
166.3→166.7
Auto21.6
Teleop139.6
End11.8
red by 0.2
3959
#13
172.61.2
179.2→178.1
Auto21.3
Teleop142.4
End9.2
Second
5437
#6
152.10.2
141.5→141.7
Auto19.4
Teleop111.2
End22.4
red by 1.8
1002
#20
150.21.0
141.9→142.9
Auto20.5
Teleop115.3
End12.6
Third
3880
#47
140.50.3
138.9→138.6
Auto15.4
Teleop107.2
End16.5
red by 18.1
7081
#57
122.40.1
119.6→119.4
Auto15.8
Teleop89.7
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed