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Red401
3882158.7
4159148.4
5472192.4
Blue304
3250196.2
665294.6
4522188.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370339100200300400500600700401304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#59
192.40.3
191.6191.8
Auto20.6
Teleop153.6
End15.8
blue by 3.8
196.21.9
189.6191.5
Auto28.1
Teleop138.3
End29.0
Second
3882
#22
158.70.5
157.3156.8
Auto21.8
Teleop121.1
End13.6
blue by 29.3
188.00.1
184.9184.8
Auto24.0
Teleop129.4
End36.9
Third
4159
#21
148.42.2
139.0141.3
Auto18.4
Teleop115.7
End15.8
red by 53.8
6652
#62
94.60.3
92.692.9
Auto15.9
Teleop67.7
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed