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Qual 302018 Roebling Division
Red357
6348116.8
3288114.4
1778148.3
Blue387
6024147.0
5410134.5
1775144.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301312240260280320340360380357387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#42
148.31.7
155.5→153.8
Auto18.1
Teleop119.2
End9.9
red by 1.2
6024
#18
147.00.9
146.5→145.6
Auto20.9
Teleop107.6
End18.3
Second
6348
#40
116.81.8
115.9→117.8
Auto15.9
Teleop89.5
End12.1
blue by 27.2
1775
#43
144.00.7
137.9→138.5
Auto17.8
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Third
3288
#56
114.40.8
109.3→108.5
Auto16.3
Teleop80.4
End18.2
blue by 20.1
5410
#29
134.50.5
132.7→133.2
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed