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Red469
7081122.4
2521159.8
4191136.8
Blue228
2073140.0
6106133.1
1515130.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3083230100200400500600700800469228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.82.2
148.2150.4
Auto18.1
Teleop120.0
End23.1
red by 19.8
2073
#14
140.00.6
134.3134.8
Auto19.9
Teleop111.5
End12.7
Second
136.80.1
127.9128.0
Auto15.5
Teleop103.8
End22.6
red by 3.6
6106
#48
133.11.0
135.0134.1
Auto16.0
Teleop101.6
End14.5
Third
7081
#57
122.40.4
119.3118.9
Auto15.8
Teleop89.7
End17.6
blue by 8.0
1515
#52
130.40.8
139.0138.2
Auto17.6
Teleop97.4
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed