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Red397
4980170.6
5429150.9
488172.8
Blue117
7193115.3
1540155.0
6348116.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4082360100200300500600397117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#16
172.80.3
168.0168.4
Auto21.6
Teleop139.6
End11.8
red by 17.8
1540
#27
155.00.6
152.1152.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.7
End11.9
Second
170.60.2
167.5167.7
Auto24.1
Teleop127.6
End18.0
red by 53.8
6348
#40
116.80.3
120.0119.7
Auto15.9
Teleop89.5
End12.1
Third
5429
#24
150.90.5
147.7148.2
Auto17.3
Teleop112.8
End20.4
red by 35.6
7193
#60
115.31.3
121.2119.9
Auto17.0
Teleop83.0
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed